Blog-OCDC

The Napoleon III of Turkey

Cacildo Marques

Napoleon III (Louis Bonaparte)

      The Friday night (2016/JUL/15) turmoil in Turkey has been really foggy. Now not anymore. The problem is that one had not how to answer several questions: (1) with that order did President Erdogan abolish, one month earlier, the parliamentarian immunity? (2) why did the President decide last week to make up hastily, with two countries which until then were enemies of death, Israel and Russia? (3) why was one of the first steps in the Sunday morning, shortly after the "coup" against him, the imprison of 1,200 national judges? (4) why does he attack the Peshmerga army, the greatest enemy of the ISIS, when the ISIS commits attacks in Turkey? The answer to these four questions is built in response to the version he gave to the "military coup". This has been perpetrated, he said, by cleric Gullen, his personal enemy exiled in the United States. Firstly, Erdogan has experience in quelling street riots, like he has made with the youth in 2013. Secondly, the Turkish army is one of the most advanced in the world and would not perpetrate a military coup that was not a palace coup, as the one of Deodoro against Don Peter II in 1889 (Brazil) or that of al-Sisi against Mubarak in 2011 (Egypt). To send soldiers to the streets in alleged state of siege which left the president and the premier free and loose, enjoying the break weekend, is not consistent with a well-trained army. In countries more underdeveloped of Africa is that it used to occur, post-Cold War. Finally, knowing the request for extradition that Erdogan made to Obama as for his person, cleric Gullen accused President Erdogan by having armed what seemed a coup attempt. At first glance, it seemed an explanation along the lines of "conspitacy theory".

      A second analysis shows that an army formed in the philosophy of the maintenance of secular state under any cost, such as it is that of Turkey, would never attempt a coup under orders of a clergyman, and on top a teenager, no palace coup. With this hepatic complaint, President Erdogan undid the mystery. He had gagged the Parliament one month before with the ban immunity. To the judiciary, only with the implementation of State of siege he would get it. As the array could get out of control, on the night he spread he was the victim of "coup" attempt. Now, among judges and military are more than 6,000 prisoners. And the rulers of France and US has hinted that saw the game. Ayrault, Socialist foreign minister of France, said that Erdogan "can not think he has received a blank check only for having extinguished the coup". President Obama, in esponse to the request for extradition of the cleric, said Erdogan must first prove that Gullen has been the mentor of the "coup".

      As for the resumption of relations with Russia and Israel, it was just good neighborhood policy, to clear the land with a view to higher flights. He has combined with Russians, but not with the US and EU. And now he promises to restore the death penalty, which he had abolished with the hope of entering the EU, which entry, now, without the British Empire, perhaps no more interests to the "New sultan".

    S. Paulo, 2016/Jul/19